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Neighborhood · Ranked #1,608 of 84,120 nationally

Hopelawn Eviction Risk: High , Perth Amboy

Tract 34023004400 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 4,801 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 34023004400 sits in the Hopelawn area of Perth Amboy eviction risk, New Jersey eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 7.6/10. That is riskier than about 99% of US census tracts.

About 69% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,317 a month while the average household earns $47,660 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 20% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,641
Renter share65.6%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate21.3%
Median income$47,660

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Hopelawn
Very High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 12 tracts In Perth Amboy
High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#171 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Perth Amboy and the region

Centroid at 40.5200, -74.2727 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hopelawn scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Perth Amboy
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.3% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,317 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Perth Amboy
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Perth Amboy
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Perth Amboy
8.3

How Hopelawn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hopelawn risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.28.2This tracttract 004400Perth Amboy: 8.38.3Perth Amboyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 48Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 6.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2015)
  • 48Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hopelawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hopelawn

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Perth Amboy eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023004400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023004400?

Census tract 34023004400 in the Hopelawn neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023004400?

Median gross rent is $1,317/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023004400?

21.3% of residents in tract 34023004400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,801.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023004400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 94th, minority 86th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 34023004400 considered part of Hopelawn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023004400 fall within Hopelawn (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023004400?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023004400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.26% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023004400 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023004400 compare to Perth Amboy overall?

Tract 34023004400 scores 8.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Perth Amboy at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Perth Amboy eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Perth Amboy

Top eight tracts in Perth Amboy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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