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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

The Colony Club Eviction Risk: Moderate , South River

Tract 34023006900 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,697 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

For landlords sizing up the The Colony Club area of South River, census tract 34023006900 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.1/10. That is riskier than about 96% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,646 monthly, set against $88,214 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 25% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,178
Renter share62.0%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$88,214

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In The Colony Club
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In South River
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
High
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#633 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across South River and the region

Centroid at 40.4489, -74.3780 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Colony Club scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South River
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,646 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from South River
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South River
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from South River
6.3

How The Colony Club compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Colony Club risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 006900South River: 7.97.9South Riverparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 64Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 9.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.0%Peak (2015)
  • 64Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Colony Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Colony Club

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from South River, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 64 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 10.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.0% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023006900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023006900?

Census tract 34023006900 in the The Colony Club neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023006900?

Median gross rent is $1,646/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023006900?

15.2% of residents in tract 34023006900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,697.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023006900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 62th, minority 77th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 34023006900 considered part of The Colony Club?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023006900 fall within The Colony Club (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023006900?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 64 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023006900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.98% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023006900 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023006900 compare to South River overall?

Tract 34023006900 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of South River at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South River; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South River

Top eight tracts in South River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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