Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
The Colony Club Eviction Risk: Moderate , South River
Tract 34023007000 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 7,818 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 6.7/10, tract 34023007000 in the The Colony Club neighborhood of South River ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 7,818 residents. That is riskier than about 90% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,563 a month against an average household income of $105,176 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,683
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$105,176
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across South River and the region
Centroid at 40.4386, -74.3720 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Colony Club scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South River
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,563 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from South River
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South River
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from South River
6.3
How The Colony Club compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 67Total filings over 1 yrs
- 9.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.5%Peak (2015)
- 67Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Colony Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 11.2%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Colony Club
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from South River, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023007000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007000?
Census tract 34023007000 in the The Colony Club neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023007000?
Median gross rent is $1,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007000?
12.4% of residents in tract 34023007000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,818.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 88th, minority 57th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 34023007000 considered part of The Colony Club?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007000 fall within The Colony Club (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 67 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.49% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023007000 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023007000 compare to South River overall?
Tract 34023007000 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of South River at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South River; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South River
Top eight tracts in South River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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