Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
The Colony Club Eviction Risk: Elevated , South River
Tract 34023007000 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 7,818 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 6.8/10, tract 34023007000 in the The Colony Club area of South River, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,818. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,683
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$105,176
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across South River and the region
Centroid at 40.4386, -74.3720 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Colony Club scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South River
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,563 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from South River
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South River
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from South River
6.3
How The Colony Club compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 67Total filings over 1 yrs
- 9.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.5%Peak (2015)
- 67Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Colony Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 11.2%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Colony Club
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.
It sits 1.1 points above the Middlesex County average of 5.7. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 67 evictions over 1 years of observation. Cost burden runs 40% here against 44.9% across Middlesex County. The worst year on record was 2015, when 9.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 9.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $105,176, annual rent is just 18%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,563, close to the South River average. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023007000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007000?
Census tract 34023007000 in the The Colony Club neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023007000?
Median gross rent is $1,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007000?
12.4% of residents in tract 34023007000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,818.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 88th, minority 57th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 34023007000 considered part of The Colony Club?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007000 fall within The Colony Club (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 67 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.49% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023007000 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023007000 compare to South River overall?
Tract 34023007000 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of South River at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South River; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South River
Top eight tracts in South River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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