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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Thomas J. Dohany Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sayreville

Tract 34023007600 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 6,168 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 34023007600 in the Thomas J. Dohany Homes area of South Amboy, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,168 residents. 30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Middlesex County average of 44.9%.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 34% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units2,754
Renter share48.4%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$114,432

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Thomas J. Dohany Homes
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Sayreville
Very Low
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#76 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#1,034 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sayreville and the region

Centroid at 40.4808, -74.2748 · click any tract to drill in

Why Thomas J. Dohany Homes scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sayreville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,688 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sayreville
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sayreville
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sayreville
3.7

How Thomas J. Dohany Homes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Thomas J. Dohany Homes risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0076006.3Sayrevilleparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 42Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2015)
  • 42Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Thomas J. Dohany Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Thomas J. Dohany Homes

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Court records carry 42 eviction filings across 1 observed years. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $114,432, annual rent is just 18%.

It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely. Average gross rent is $1,688, close to the South Amboy average. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023007600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007600?

Census tract 34023007600 in the Thomas J. Dohany Homes neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023007600?

Median gross rent is $1,688/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007600?

7.5% of residents in tract 34023007600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,168.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 51th, minority 57th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 34023007600 considered part of Thomas J. Dohany Homes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007600 fall within Thomas J. Dohany Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007600?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 42 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.37% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023007600 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023007600 compare to Sayreville overall?

Tract 34023007600 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Sayreville at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sayreville

Top eight tracts in Sayreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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