Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Thomas J. Dohany Homes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Sayreville
Tract 34023007402 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 5,092 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 34023007402 covers part of the Thomas J. Dohany Homes area of Sayreville, NJ, and scores 6.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,092 residents. 75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Middlesex County average of 44.9%.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,287
Renter share32.4%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$72,967
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sayreville and the region
Centroid at 40.4699, -74.2694 · click any tract to drill in
Why Thomas J. Dohany Homes scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sayreville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,785 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sayreville
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sayreville
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sayreville
4.5
How Thomas J. Dohany Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2015)
- 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Thomas J. Dohany Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.7%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Thomas J. Dohany Homes
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. Against the Middlesex County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. The filing record is not thin: 10 evictions over 1 years of observation.
SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when 4.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023007402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007402?
Census tract 34023007402 in the Thomas J. Dohany Homes neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023007402?
Median gross rent is $1,785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007402?
5.6% of residents in tract 34023007402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,092.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 37th, minority 60th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 34023007402 considered part of Thomas J. Dohany Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007402 fall within Thomas J. Dohany Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007402?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.12% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023007402 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023007402 compare to Sayreville overall?
Tract 34023007402 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Sayreville at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sayreville
Top eight tracts in Sayreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Runyon
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayre Woods
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
La Mer
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Presidents Park
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Melrose
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Park Village
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Winding River
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayre Woods
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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