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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Thomas J. Dohany Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sayreville

Tract 34023007402 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 5,092 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 6.7/10, tract 34023007402 in Thomas J. Dohany Homes in Sayreville ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,092 residents. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 75% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,785 a month while the average household earns $72,967 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 8% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,287
Renter share32.4%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$72,967

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Thomas J. Dohany Homes
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 11 tracts In Sayreville
High
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#53 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#870 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sayreville and the region

Centroid at 40.4699, -74.2694 · click any tract to drill in

Why Thomas J. Dohany Homes scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sayreville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,785 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sayreville
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sayreville
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sayreville
4.5

How Thomas J. Dohany Homes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Thomas J. Dohany Homes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 007402Sayreville: 7.77.7Sayrevilleparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2015)
  • 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Thomas J. Dohany Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Thomas J. Dohany Homes

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023007402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007402?

Census tract 34023007402 in the Thomas J. Dohany Homes neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023007402?

Median gross rent is $1,785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007402?

5.6% of residents in tract 34023007402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,092.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 37th, minority 60th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 34023007402 considered part of Thomas J. Dohany Homes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007402 fall within Thomas J. Dohany Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007402?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.12% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023007402 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023007402 compare to Sayreville overall?

Tract 34023007402 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Sayreville at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sayreville

Top eight tracts in Sayreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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