Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
The Fairways at Forsgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rossmoor
Tract 34023008206 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,520 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 34023008206 runs through the The Fairways at Forsgate neighborhood of Rossmoor. With 3,520 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
93% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 74% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,993 a month against an average household income of $51,528 a year, roughly 46% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,674
Renter share16.5%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$51,528
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rossmoor and the region
Centroid at 40.3340, -74.4645 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Fairways at Forsgate scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rossmoor
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,993 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rossmoor
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rossmoor
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rossmoor
7.1
How The Fairways at Forsgate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.3%Peak (2015)
- 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.6%Housing insecurity
- 2.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 9.2%Frequent mental distress
- 38.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Fairways at Forsgate
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rossmoor, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 2 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 0.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.3% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023008206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023008206?
Census tract 34023008206 in the The Fairways at Forsgate neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023008206?
Median gross rent is $1,993/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 93% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023008206?
8.9% of residents in tract 34023008206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,520.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023008206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 57th, minority 18th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 34023008206 considered part of The Fairways at Forsgate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023008206 fall within The Fairways at Forsgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023008206?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023008206 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.33% of renter households, peaking at 0.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023008206 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023008206 compare to Rossmoor overall?
Tract 34023008206 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Rossmoor at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rossmoor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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