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Neighborhood · Rossmoor, NJ

The Fairways at Forsgate Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,520 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 7.3–7.3

The Fairways at Forsgate maps to a single census tract in Rossmoor, NJ and houses 3,520 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.3/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 74%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Against a Rossmoor baseline of 51.0%, 93% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Set annual rent against average household income of $51,528 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.2/10. At $1,993 a month, rents sit 20% over what the rest of Rossmoor commands.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 4.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions logged in this tract. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.8/10.

Food insecurity affects 7.8% of adults, 10.0 points below the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 0.3% of renter households.

At 17% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

One tract means one number: 7.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Fairways at Forsgate vs Rossmoor How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
92.5% +81%
Rossmoor: 51.0%
Average gross rent
$1,993 +20%
Rossmoor: $1,661
Average HH income
$51,528 -5%
Rossmoor: $54,367
Poverty rate
8.9% +2%
Rossmoor: 8.7%
Renter share
16.5% +45%
Rossmoor: 11.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Fairways at Forsgate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.3–7.3

Why The Fairways at Forsgate scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
93% of income on rent · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
17% renter households · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
8.9% below poverty line · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

The Fairways at Forsgate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Fairways at Forsgate score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.3The Fairways at FoNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in The Fairways at Forsgate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34023008206 7.3 3,520 93% $1,993
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 18%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Fairways at Forsgate

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings (sum)
  • 0.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.3%Peak year (2015)
  • 0.33%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Fairways at Forsgate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Fairways at Forsgate

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Fairways at Forsgate?

The Fairways at Forsgate scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Fairways at Forsgate compare to Rossmoor overall?

The Fairways at Forsgate scores 1.4 points higher than Rossmoor overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 93% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $1,993 vs $1,661.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Fairways at Forsgate?

Average gross rent in The Fairways at Forsgate is $1,993/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 93% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Fairways at Forsgate residents are renters?

17% of The Fairways at Forsgate households are renter-occupied (vs 11% in Rossmoor). The neighborhood has 3,520 residents.
Q5

Is The Fairways at Forsgate a high social-vulnerability area?

The Fairways at Forsgate sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is The Fairways at Forsgate for landlords?

The Fairways at Forsgate carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rossmoor as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of The Fairways at Forsgate?

The Fairways at Forsgate has 3,697 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (88.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Fairways at Forsgate

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