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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Santa Fe Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate , Keyport

Tract 34025803100 · Monmouth County, NJ · pop 3,767 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

In the Santa Fe Junction area of Keyport, census tract 34025803100 scores 6.1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,876 monthly, set against $117,778 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 32% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,448
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$117,778

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Santa Fe Junction
High
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Keyport
Very Low
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 154 tracts In Monmouth County
High
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#925 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Keyport and the region

Centroid at 40.4204, -74.2335 · click any tract to drill in

Why Santa Fe Junction scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Keyport
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,876 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Keyport
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Keyport
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Keyport
4.7

How Santa Fe Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Santa Fe Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 803100Keyport: 7.27.2Keyportparent cityCounty: 3.13.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 291Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 24.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.4%Peak (2018)
  • 149Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Santa Fe Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Santa Fe Junction

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Keyport, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Monmouth County average of 6.3 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 291 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 24.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 25.4% of renter households in 2018.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34025803100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34025803100?

Census tract 34025803100 in the Santa Fe Junction neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34025803100?

Median gross rent is $1,876/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34025803100?

6.1% of residents in tract 34025803100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,767.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34025803100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 23th, minority 60th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 34025803100 considered part of Santa Fe Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34025803100 fall within Santa Fe Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34025803100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 291 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34025803100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.32% of renter households, peaking at 25.4% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34025803100 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34025803100 compare to Keyport overall?

Tract 34025803100 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Keyport at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Keyport; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Keyport

Top eight tracts in Keyport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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