Skip to content
Neighborhood · Keyport, NJ

Santa Fe Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 22,078 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 3.7–7.9

Santa Fe Junction is a 5-tract neighborhood of Keyport, NJ, population 22,078. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. 43% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Keyport rate of 27.3%.

The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.7 to 7.9, a 4.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. At $1,890 a month, rents sit 30% over what the rest of Keyport commands. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.7/10.

The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Filings are well documented here: 707 across 5 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2018, when filings touched 26.2% of renter households.

Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 4.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Santa Fe Junction vs Keyport How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.5% +56%
Keyport: 27.3%
Average gross rent
$1,890 +30%
Keyport: $1,458
Average HH income
$119,749 +52%
Keyport: $79,036
Poverty rate
6.6% -29%
Keyport: 9.3%
Renter share
37.5% -25%
Keyport: 49.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Fe Junction and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3.7–7.9

Why Santa Fe Junction scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.4–6.8 across tracts
6.1
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 4.0–6.8 across tracts
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.9 across tracts
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 3.2–8.7 across tracts
5.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.1–5.0 across tracts
4.6
Economic stress
6.6% below poverty line · Range 1.1–3.3 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–6.2 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Santa Fe Junction vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Santa Fe Junction score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4Santa Fe JunctionNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Santa Fe Junction?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 4.2 points from 3.7 to 7.9. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Santa Fe Junction

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34025802000 7.9 3,585 30% $948
34025803100 6.3 3,767 38% $1,876
34025802600 5.2 5,306 34% $1,888
34025802400 4.7 5,324 62% $2,285
34025802700 3.7 4,096 44% $2,214
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 37

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Santa Fe Junction

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 707Total filings (sum)
  • 12.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.2%Peak year (2018)
  • 11.75%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Santa Fe Junction

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Santa Fe Junction

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Santa Fe Junction?

Santa Fe Junction scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Santa Fe Junction compare to Keyport overall?

Santa Fe Junction scores 1.1 points lower than Keyport overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,890 vs $1,458.
Q3

What is the average rent in Santa Fe Junction?

Average gross rent in Santa Fe Junction is $1,890/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Santa Fe Junction residents are renters?

38% of Santa Fe Junction households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Keyport). The neighborhood has 22,078 residents.
Q5

Is Santa Fe Junction a high social-vulnerability area?

Santa Fe Junction sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Santa Fe Junction have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Santa Fe Junction is census tract 34025802000 (score 7.9/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 7.9, a spread of 4.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Santa Fe Junction for landlords?

Santa Fe Junction carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Keyport as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Santa Fe Junction?

Santa Fe Junction has 22,518 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.3%), Hispanic / Latino (12.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Santa Fe Junction

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further