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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Tinton Pines Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tinton Falls

Tract 34025804801 · Monmouth County, NJ · pop 6,750 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 34025804801 covers part of the Tinton Pines area of Tinton Falls, NJ, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 9% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units3,182
Renter share19.4%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$120,756

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Tinton Pines
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Tinton Falls
Low
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 154 tracts In Monmouth County
Moderate
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#1,105 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tinton Falls and the region

Centroid at 40.2471, -74.1043 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tinton Pines scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tinton Falls
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,314 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tinton Falls
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tinton Falls
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tinton Falls
7.0

How Tinton Pines compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tinton Pines risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 8048015.9Tinton Fallsparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tinton Pines

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10. At $2,314 a month, rents run 33% over what the rest of Tinton Falls commands. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Monmouth County average of 47.3%.

Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 13.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34025804801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34025804801?

Census tract 34025804801 in the Tinton Pines neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34025804801?

Median gross rent is $2,314/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34025804801?

5.8% of residents in tract 34025804801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,750.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34025804801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 38th, minority 44th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 34025804801 considered part of Tinton Pines?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34025804801 fall within Tinton Pines (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 34025804801 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34025804801 compare to Tinton Falls overall?

Tract 34025804801 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Tinton Falls at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tinton Falls; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tinton Falls

Top eight tracts in Tinton Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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