Winding Brook Eviction Risk: Lower , Morganville
Tract 34025809504 · Monmouth County, NJ · pop 2,592 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 34025809504 sits in the Winding Brook area of Morganville, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. It is home to 2,592 residents. The severe-burden share is 100%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Morganville and the region
Centroid at 40.3557, -74.2289 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winding Brook scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Winding Brook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 17.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Winding Brook
Against Monmouth County at 47.3%, 100% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10. Against the Monmouth County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 17.2% against 31.5% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 34025809504
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34025809504?
What is the poverty rate in tract 34025809504?
How socially vulnerable is tract 34025809504?
Is tract 34025809504 considered part of Winding Brook?
What share of households in tract 34025809504 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 34025809504 compare to Morganville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Morganville
Top eight tracts in Morganville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.