Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Winding Brook Eviction Risk: Lower , Morganville
Tract 34025809504 · Monmouth County, NJ · pop 2,592 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Here is how census tract 34025809504, in Winding Brook in Morganville, looks to a landlord: a 6.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,592. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
100% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 100% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $230,833 a year. Renters make up 3% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units718
Renter share2.8%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$230,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
20
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Morganville and the region
Centroid at 40.3557, -74.2289 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winding Brook scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Morganville
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Morganville
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Morganville
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Morganville
4.0
How Winding Brook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 17.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winding Brook
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Morganville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Monmouth County average of 6.3 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34025809504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34025809504?
Census tract 34025809504 in the Winding Brook neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 34025809504?
4.3% of residents in tract 34025809504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,592.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 34025809504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 14th, minority 60th, housing 37th.
Q4
Is tract 34025809504 considered part of Winding Brook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34025809504 fall within Winding Brook (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 34025809504 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 34025809504 compare to Morganville overall?
Tract 34025809504 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Morganville at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Morganville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Morganville
Top eight tracts in Morganville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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