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Census Tract · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

New Vernon Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34027044200 · Morris County, NJ · pop 3,868 · 11% of tract blocks fall in New Vernon

Census tract 34027044200 covers part of New Vernon, NJ, and scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,868. Severe burden reaches 56%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 6% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,516
Renter share17.9%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$178,810

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In New Vernon
Moderate
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#31 of 110 tracts In Morris County
Elevated
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#940 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
National
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#17,650 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Vernon and the region

Centroid at 40.7410, -74.4968 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Vernon scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Vernon
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Vernon
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Vernon
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Vernon
7.7

How New Vernon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Vernon risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 0442006.6New Vernonparent city5.5Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 6Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 1.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2018)
  • 4Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Vernon

Cost burden runs 65% here against 40.8% across Morris County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.0% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 6 eviction filings across 2 observed years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2018, when 1.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #17,650 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027044200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027044200?

Census tract 34027044200 in New Vernon scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027044200?

3.8% of residents in tract 34027044200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,868.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027044200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 39th, minority 17th, housing 9th.
Q4

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027044200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027044200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.25% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5

What share of households in tract 34027044200 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 34027044200 compare to New Vernon overall?

Tract 34027044200 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of New Vernon at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Vernon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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