Census Tract · Ranked #36,225 of 84,120 nationally

New Vernon Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 34027044200 · Morris County, NJ · pop 3,868 · 11% of tract blocks fall in New Vernon

New Vernon in Morris County is where census tract 34027044200 sits, home to 3,868 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.7/10. That is riskier than about 90% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 56% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $178,810 a year. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 6% Owners 82%

Tract context

Occupied units1,516

Renter share17.9%

SVI overall0.21

Poverty rate3.8%

Median income$178,810

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across New Vernon and the region

Centroid at 40.7410, -74.4968 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Vernon scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from New Vernon

5.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.2

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

3.8% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from New Vernon

9.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from New Vernon

8.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from New Vernon

7.7

How New Vernon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

43%Socioeconomic
39%Household composition
17%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

6Total filings over 2 yrs
1.25%Avg annual filing rate
1.7%Peak (2018)
4Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.4%Housing insecurity
3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
6.0%Food insecurity
3.4%SNAP enrollment
4.1%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
12.1%Frequent mental distress
21.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Vernon

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Vernon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Morris County average of 5.8 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027044200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027044200?

Census tract 34027044200 in New Vernon scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027044200?

3.8% of residents in tract 34027044200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,868.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027044200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 39th, minority 17th, housing 9th.

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027044200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027044200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.25% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 34027044200 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 34027044200 compare to New Vernon overall?

Tract 34027044200 scores 5.1/10, right in line with the parent city of New Vernon at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Vernon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.