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Census Tract · Ranked #18,425 of 84,120 nationally

Madison Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34027042900 · Morris County, NJ · pop 3,762

Census tract 34027042900 covers Madison, home to 3,762 residents. For landlords it grades 6.2/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,016 a month against an average household income of $129,318 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 24% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,458
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$129,318

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 4 tracts In Madison
Very High
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileBottomTop
#62 of 110 tracts In Morris County
Moderate
Within state
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileBottomTop
#1,848 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileBottomTop
#18,425 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Madison and the region

Centroid at 40.7684, -74.4151 · click any tract to drill in

Why Madison scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Madison
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,016 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Madison
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Madison
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Madison
4.0

How Madison compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Madison risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 042900Madison: 6.16.1Madisonparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.87.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 39Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 2.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.1%Peak (2018)
  • 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Madison

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Madison, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Morris County average of 5.8 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 39 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 2.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.1% of renter households in 2018.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027042900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027042900?

Census tract 34027042900 in Madison scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34027042900?

Median gross rent is $2,016/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027042900?

3.9% of residents in tract 34027042900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,762.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027042900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 65th, minority 38th, housing 51th.

Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027042900?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 39 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027042900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.84% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q6

What share of households in tract 34027042900 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 34027042900 compare to Madison overall?

Tract 34027042900 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Madison at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Madison; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Madison

Top eight tracts in Madison ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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