Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Leisure Village
Tract 34029715901 ·
Ocean County, NJ · pop 4,066 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 34029715901 sits in the Forest Ridge area of Ocean County, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. It is home to 4,066 residents. 70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Ocean County average of 50.5%.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%Stable renters 13%Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,314
Renter share42.4%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate25.0%
Median income$61,758
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Forest Ridge
Very High
Within county
83th percentile
#26 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
High
Within state
60th percentile
#874 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
National
80th percentile
#16,571 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leisure Village and the region
Centroid at 40.0454, -74.2053 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Ridge scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leisure Village
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
25.0% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,712 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure Village
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure Village
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure Village
5.0
How Forest Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
71%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
263Total filings over 6 yrs
6.91%Avg annual filing rate
8.5%Peak (2013)
35Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2013 to 2018
Filings dropped 38% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
15.7%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
20.1%Food insecurity
14.6%SNAP enrollment
10.6%Transit barriers
14.4%No health insurance
17.9%Frequent mental distress
30.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Ridge
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.7/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $61,758, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Ocean County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 263 filings here across 6 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 8.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent runs $1,712 a month.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029715901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029715901?
Census tract 34029715901 in the Forest Ridge neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029715901?
Median gross rent is $1,712/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029715901?
25.0% of residents in tract 34029715901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,066.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029715901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 30th, minority 34th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 34029715901 considered part of Forest Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029715901 fall within Forest Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029715901?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 263 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029715901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.91% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029715901 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029715901 compare to Leisure Village overall?
Tract 34029715901 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Leisure Village at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure Village; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.