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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Leisure Village

Tract 34029715902 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 5,866 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

34029715902 is a census tract in the Forest Ridge area of Leisure Village, NJ. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,866. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 10% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,721
Renter share38.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate39.2%
Median income$42,705

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Forest Ridge
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Leisure Village
Moderate
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#968 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leisure Village and the region

Centroid at 40.0438, -74.1864 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Ridge scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leisure Village
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
39.2% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$1,725 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure Village
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure Village
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure Village
5.2

How Forest Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 715902Leisure Village: 4.64.6Leisure Villageparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 319Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 5.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.7%Peak (2013)
  • 41Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340297159022013: 67 filings (6.70/100 renter HHs)2014: 57 filings (5.70/100 renter HHs)2015: 52 filings (5.20/100 renter HHs)2016: 53 filings (5.39/100 renter HHs)2017: 49 filings (4.98/100 renter HHs)2018: 41 filings (4.17/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Ridge

about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Ocean County average of 50.5%. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.8/10.

Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $42,705, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10.

Against the Ocean County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Court records carry 319 eviction filings across 6 observed years.

Adults with no health insurance runs 18.4% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2013 at 6.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029715902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029715902?

Census tract 34029715902 in the Forest Ridge neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34029715902?

Median gross rent is $1,725/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029715902?

39.2% of residents in tract 34029715902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,866.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029715902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 82th, minority 51th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 34029715902 considered part of Forest Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029715902 fall within Forest Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029715902?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 319 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029715902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.36% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34029715902 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34029715902 compare to Leisure Village overall?

Tract 34029715902 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Leisure Village at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure Village; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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