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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Seawood Harbor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dover Beaches North

Tract 34029722500 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 1,696 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

34029722500 is a census tract in the Seawood Harbor area of Dover Beaches North, NJ. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,696 residents. The severe-burden share is 49%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 8% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,061
Renter share15.2%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$52,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Seawood Harbor
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Dover Beaches North
Moderate
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
Elevated
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#1,435 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dover Beaches North and the region

Centroid at 39.9965, -74.0722 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seawood Harbor scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dover Beaches North
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,177 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover Beaches North
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover Beaches North
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover Beaches North
6.2

How Seawood Harbor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seawood Harbor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 722500Dover Beaches Nort: 4.64.6Dover Beaches Nortparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 11Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 3.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2015)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340297225002013: 1 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)2014: 1 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)2015: 4 filings (7.14/100 renter HHs)2016: 3 filings (5.36/100 renter HHs)2017: 1 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)2018: 1 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seawood Harbor

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 11 evictions over 6 years of observation.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2015, when 7.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029722500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029722500?

Census tract 34029722500 in the Seawood Harbor neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34029722500?

Median gross rent is $1,177/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029722500?

4.2% of residents in tract 34029722500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,696.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029722500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 29th, minority 29th, housing 10th.
Q5

Is tract 34029722500 considered part of Seawood Harbor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029722500 fall within Seawood Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029722500?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029722500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.28% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34029722500 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34029722500 compare to Dover Beaches North overall?

Tract 34029722500 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Dover Beaches North at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover Beaches North; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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