Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Cranmoor Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pine Beach
Tract 34029731101 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 3,586 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 34029731101 in the Cranmoor Manor area of Ocean County, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,586. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,351
Renter share24.6%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$95,163
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pine Beach and the region
Centroid at 39.9302, -74.1649 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cranmoor Manor scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pine Beach
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,744 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pine Beach
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pine Beach
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pine Beach
5.0
How Cranmoor Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 335Total filings over 6 yrs
- 14.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.4%Peak (2014)
- 55Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cranmoor Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cranmoor Manor
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.5/10. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 335 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 17.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 14.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10.
Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. 54% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Ocean County average of 5.0 closely.
Average gross rent runs $1,744 a month. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $95,163.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029731101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029731101?
Census tract 34029731101 in the Cranmoor Manor neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029731101?
Median gross rent is $1,744/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029731101?
10.0% of residents in tract 34029731101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,586.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029731101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 70th, minority 38th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 34029731101 considered part of Cranmoor Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029731101 fall within Cranmoor Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029731101?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 335 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029731101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.28% of renter households, peaking at 17.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029731101 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029731101 compare to Pine Beach overall?
Tract 34029731101 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Pine Beach at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pine Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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