Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Barnegat Pines Eviction Risk: Lower , Forked River
Tract 34029731103 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 4,702 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 34029731103 covers part of the Barnegat Pines area of Ocean County, NJ, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,427
Renter share2.6%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$120,505
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
National
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forked River and the region
Centroid at 39.9008, -74.1910 · click any tract to drill in
Why Barnegat Pines scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forked River
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forked River
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forked River
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forked River
5.0
How Barnegat Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 41Total filings over 6 yrs
- 12.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.0%Peak (2014)
- 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Barnegat Pines. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.3%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 22.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Barnegat Pines
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. It sits 1.5 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0.
SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 41 eviction filings across 6 observed years.
Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when 17.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10.
Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.5 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029731103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029731103?
Census tract 34029731103 in the Barnegat Pines neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029731103?
3.2% of residents in tract 34029731103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,702.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029731103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 26th, minority 32th, housing 39th.
Q4
Is tract 34029731103 considered part of Barnegat Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029731103 fall within Barnegat Pines (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029731103?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029731103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.99% of renter households, peaking at 17.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34029731103 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34029731103 compare to Forked River overall?
Tract 34029731103 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Forked River at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forked River; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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