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Neighborhood · Forked River, NJ

Barnegat Pines Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 9,490 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.5–3.6

Barnegat Pines takes in 2 census tracts of Forked River, NJ and houses 9,490 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.6/10, in the Lower tier. 40% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Forked River rate of 24.3%.

Average gross rent is $1,101, 49% below the Forked River average of $2,170. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. Court records for this tract carry 41 eviction filings.

SNAP participation is 5.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 17.0% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 15.6% in 2018 against a 17.0% peak. At 17% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Sunrise Beach and Pheasant Run score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $106,746, annual rent is only 12%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.1 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Barnegat Pines vs Forked River How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.7% +63%
Forked River: 24.3%
Average gross rent
$1,101 -49%
Forked River: $2,170
Average HH income
$106,746 +22%
Forked River: $87,455
Poverty rate
2.9% -70%
Forked River: 9.7%
Renter share
16.7% +113%
Forked River: 7.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Barnegat Pines and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.5–3.6

Why Barnegat Pines scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.2–6.8 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 3.7–6.8 across tracts
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.7 across tracts
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
17% renter households · Range 2.7–4.0 across tracts
3.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.4–5.0 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
2.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.7 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Barnegat Pines vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Barnegat Pines score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Barnegat Pines: 3.63.6Barnegat PinesNeighborhoodParent city: 4.44.4Parent cityhost cityState: 6.46.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Barnegat Pines

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34029732003 3.6 4,788 79% $2,182
34029731103 3.5 4,702 0%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 16%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Barnegat Pines

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 41Total filings (sum)
  • 12.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.0%Peak year (2014)
  • 15.56%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Barnegat Pines

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Barnegat Pines

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Barnegat Pines?

Barnegat Pines scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Barnegat Pines compare to Forked River overall?

Barnegat Pines scores 0.8 points lower than Forked River overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $1,101 vs $2,170.
Q3

What is the average rent in Barnegat Pines?

Average gross rent in Barnegat Pines is $1,101/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Barnegat Pines residents are renters?

17% of Barnegat Pines households are renter-occupied (vs 8% in Forked River). The neighborhood has 9,490 residents.
Q5

Is Barnegat Pines a high social-vulnerability area?

Barnegat Pines sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Barnegat Pines have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Barnegat Pines is census tract 34029732003 (score 3.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 3.6, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Barnegat Pines for landlords?

Barnegat Pines carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Forked River as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Barnegat Pines?

Barnegat Pines has 9,320 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.6%), Hispanic / Latino (17.2%), Other / Multiracial (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Barnegat Pines

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Forked River

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Barnegat Pines.

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