Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Bay View Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Mystic Island
Tract 34029736101 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 5,629 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 6.5/10, tract 34029736101 in the Bay View Heights area of Mystic Island, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,629. Severe burden reaches 59%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,137
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$67,466
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mystic Island and the region
Centroid at 39.6040, -74.3822 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay View Heights scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mystic Island
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$2,117 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mystic Island
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mystic Island
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mystic Island
8.4
How Bay View Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 167Total filings over 6 yrs
- 11.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.8%Peak (2018)
- 42Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 56% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.8%Food insecurity
- 7.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay View Heights
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $67,466, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10.
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. Against the Ocean County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Ocean County average of 50.5%. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 167 filings here across 6 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.2% against 15.2% nationally.
At $2,117 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Mystic Island commands. Filings peaked in 2018 at 18.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029736101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029736101?
Census tract 34029736101 in the Bay View Heights neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029736101?
Median gross rent is $2,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029736101?
10.2% of residents in tract 34029736101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,629.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029736101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 52th, minority 18th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 34029736101 considered part of Bay View Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029736101 fall within Bay View Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029736101?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 167 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029736101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.45% of renter households, peaking at 18.8% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029736101 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029736101 compare to Mystic Island overall?
Tract 34029736101 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Mystic Island at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mystic Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mystic Island
Top eight tracts in Mystic Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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