Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 34039032300 Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34039032300 · Union County, NJ · pop 2,907
34039032300 is a census tract in Union County, NJ. It scores 7.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,907. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units990
Renter share54.7%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$74,303
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
77
th percentile
High
National
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union County and the region
Centroid at 40.7025, -74.2327 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 34039032300 scores 7.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,613 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 34039032300 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 3%Grade B
- 24%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 352Total filings over 4 yrs
- 18.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 36.6%Peak (2013)
- 53Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 69% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.0%Housing insecurity
- 14.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.6%Food insecurity
- 18.7%SNAP enrollment
- 13.1%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 34039032300
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.5/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Union County average of 6.6.
Food insecurity runs 26.6% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 352 evictions over 4 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 36.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 18.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039032300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039032300?
Census tract 34039032300 in Union County scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039032300?
Median gross rent is $1,613/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039032300?
16.3% of residents in tract 34039032300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,907.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039032300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 76th, minority 93th, housing 20th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039032300?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 352 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039032300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.92% of renter households, peaking at 36.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039032300 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
Was tract 34039032300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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