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Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 34039032300 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 34039032300 · Union County, NJ · pop 2,907

Tract 34039032300, home to 2,907 residents in Union, scores 6.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 87th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,613 monthly, set against $74,303 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 32% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units990
Renter share54.7%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$74,303

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 120 tracts In Union County
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#761 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,017 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union County and the region

Centroid at 40.7025, -74.2327 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 34039032300 scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,613 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 34039032300 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 34039032300 risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 032300County: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 352Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 18.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 36.6%Peak (2013)
  • 53Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340390323002013: 170 filings (36.64/100 renter HHs)2016: 70 filings (15.02/100 renter HHs)2017: 59 filings (12.66/100 renter HHs)2018: 53 filings (11.37/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 69% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 34039032300

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by New Jersey eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Union County average of 6.6 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 352 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 18.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 36.6% of renter households in 2013.

Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039032300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039032300?

Census tract 34039032300 in Union County scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039032300?

Median gross rent is $1,613/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039032300?

16.3% of residents in tract 34039032300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,907.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039032300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 76th, minority 93th, housing 20th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039032300?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 352 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039032300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.92% of renter households, peaking at 36.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34039032300 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

Was tract 34039032300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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