Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Elizabeth Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34039030802 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,462
Census tract 34039030802 covers part of Elizabeth, NJ, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,462. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 49%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,032
Renter share77.2%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$102,627
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6555, -74.2129 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elizabeth scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Elizabeth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 233Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2013)
- 57Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.5%Food insecurity
- 12.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 25.5%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth
This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.5% against 11.3% nationally.
Cost burden runs 36% here against 44.6% across Union County. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.4/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Against the Union County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 233 evictions over 4 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 22.0% against 14.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 9.7% of renter households were served. At $1,659 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Elizabeth commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039030802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039030802?
Census tract 34039030802 in Elizabeth scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039030802?
Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039030802?
9.5% of residents in tract 34039030802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,462.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039030802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 38th, minority 85th, housing 89th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039030802?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 233 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039030802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.68% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039030802 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039030802 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039030802 scores 7.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039030802 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031700
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Gulfport
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031802
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039030701
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031903
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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