Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 34039033200 Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34039033200 ·
Union County, NJ · pop 3,838
Tract 34039033200 sits in Union County, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 3,838. Cost burden runs 65% here against 44.6% across Union County.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 4%Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,367
Renter share12.9%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$122,393
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
29th percentile
#85 of 120 tracts In Union County
Low
Within state
45th percentile
#1,191 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
National
70th percentile
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union County and the region
Centroid at 40.6917, -74.2523 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 34039033200 scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,112 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 34039033200 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
25%Socioeconomic
61%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
25%Grade A
1%Grade B
17%Grade C
19%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
49Total filings over 4 yrs
6.40%Avg annual filing rate
8.7%Peak (2018)
15Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2013 to 2018
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.9%Housing insecurity
7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
15.2%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
11.5%No health insurance
14.6%Frequent mental distress
23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 34039033200
The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Union County average of 6.6.
The filing record is not thin: 49 evictions over 4 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2018, when 8.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent runs $2,112 a month.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $122,393.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039033200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039033200?
Census tract 34039033200 in Union County scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039033200?
Median gross rent is $2,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039033200?
6.6% of residents in tract 34039033200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,838.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039033200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 61th, minority 76th, housing 35th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039033200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039033200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.40% of renter households, peaking at 8.7% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039033200 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
Was tract 34039033200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.