Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Colonia Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rahway
Tract 34039036302 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,651 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 34039036302 covers part of the Colonia area of Union County, NJ, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 11% here against 44.6% across Union County.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,458
Renter share12.3%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$146,858
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rahway and the region
Centroid at 40.6109, -74.3318 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonia scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rahway
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,701 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rahway
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rahway
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rahway
5.0
How Colonia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 45Total filings over 3 yrs
- 11.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.5%Peak (2018)
- 19Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Colonia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.6%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 19.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonia
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
It sits 1.8 points below the Union County average of 6.6. Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 45 eviction filings across 3 observed years.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.9/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.4% against 14.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2018, when 14.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 11.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039036302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039036302?
Census tract 34039036302 in the Colonia neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039036302?
Median gross rent is $1,701/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039036302?
3.2% of residents in tract 34039036302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,651.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039036302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 54th, minority 23th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 34039036302 considered part of Colonia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039036302 fall within Colonia (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039036302?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 45 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 34039036302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.45% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34039036302 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34039036302 compare to Rahway overall?
Tract 34039036302 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Rahway at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rahway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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