Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Colonia Eviction Risk: Lower , Rahway
Tract 34039036302 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,651 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 34039036302 in the Colonia area of Rahway ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,651 residents. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 11% of renter households, a modest level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,701 a month against an average household income of $146,858 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,458
Renter share12.3%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$146,858
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rahway and the region
Centroid at 40.6109, -74.3318 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonia scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rahway
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,701 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rahway
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rahway
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rahway
5.0
How Colonia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 45Total filings over 3 yrs
- 11.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.5%Peak (2018)
- 19Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Colonia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.6%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 19.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonia
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rahway eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Union County average of 6.6 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 45 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 11.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.5% of renter households in 2018.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039036302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039036302?
Census tract 34039036302 in the Colonia neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039036302?
Median gross rent is $1,701/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039036302?
3.2% of residents in tract 34039036302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,651.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039036302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 54th, minority 23th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 34039036302 considered part of Colonia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039036302 fall within Colonia (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039036302?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 45 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 34039036302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.45% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34039036302 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34039036302 compare to Rahway overall?
Tract 34039036302 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Rahway at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rahway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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