Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Colonia Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rahway
Tract 34039035700 · Union County, NJ · pop 5,455 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 34039035700 covers the Colonia neighborhood of Rahway, home to 5,455 residents. For landlords it grades 6.8/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,698 a month against an average household income of $88,281 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,164
Renter share46.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$88,281
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rahway and the region
Centroid at 40.6077, -74.2887 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonia scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rahway
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,698 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rahway
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rahway
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rahway
5.4
How Colonia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 58%Grade B
- 21%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 229Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2018)
- 73Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Colonia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.4%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonia
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rahway eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Union County average of 6.6 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 229 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 9.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.2% of renter households in 2018.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039035700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039035700?
Census tract 34039035700 in the Colonia neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039035700?
Median gross rent is $1,698/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039035700?
3.6% of residents in tract 34039035700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,455.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039035700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 91th, minority 74th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 34039035700 considered part of Colonia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039035700 fall within Colonia (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039035700?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 229 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039035700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.68% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34039035700 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34039035700 compare to Rahway overall?
Tract 34039035700 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Rahway at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rahway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34039035700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rahway
Top eight tracts in Rahway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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