Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Colonia Eviction Risk: Elevated , Rahway
Tract 34039035700 · Union County, NJ · pop 5,455 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 6.3/10, tract 34039035700 in the Colonia area of Rahway, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,455 residents. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,164
Renter share46.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$88,281
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rahway and the region
Centroid at 40.6077, -74.2887 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonia scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rahway
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,698 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rahway
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rahway
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rahway
5.4
How Colonia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 58%Grade B
- 21%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 229Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2018)
- 73Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Colonia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.4%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonia
Against Union County at 44.6%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10. Court records carry 229 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2018 at 12.2% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #16,571 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Union County average of 6.6 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039035700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039035700?
Census tract 34039035700 in the Colonia neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039035700?
Median gross rent is $1,698/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039035700?
3.6% of residents in tract 34039035700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,455.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039035700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 91th, minority 74th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 34039035700 considered part of Colonia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039035700 fall within Colonia (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039035700?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 229 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039035700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.68% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34039035700 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34039035700 compare to Rahway overall?
Tract 34039035700 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Rahway at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rahway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34039035700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rahway
Top eight tracts in Rahway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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