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Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Springfield Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 34039037500 · Union County, NJ · pop 5,484 · 23% of tract blocks fall in Springfield

Tract 34039037500 sits in Springfield, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. It is home to 5,484 residents. Against the Union County average of 6.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 3.4 points.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 32% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,315
Renter share51.7%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$135,346

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Springfield
Very Low
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#113 of 120 tracts In Union County
Very Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#2,042 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 40.7106, -74.3149 · click any tract to drill in

Why Springfield scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,075 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.7

How Springfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Springfield risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0375004.6Springfieldparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 522Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.4%Peak (2018)
  • 150Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34039037500
Filings climbed 47% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Springfield

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Cost burden runs 37% here against 44.6% across Union County. SNAP participation runs 4.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 7.9% against 17.8% nationally. Running cool, housing-court posture reads 2.7/10. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 522 filings here across 4 tracked years.

At $2,075 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Springfield commands. Filings peaked in 2018 at 12.4% of renter households.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Essex Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 10.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039037500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039037500?

Census tract 34039037500 in Springfield scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039037500?

Median gross rent is $2,075/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039037500?

2.3% of residents in tract 34039037500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,484.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039037500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 8th, minority 63th, housing 46th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039037500?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 522 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039037500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.82% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34039037500 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34039037500 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 34039037500 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34039037500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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