Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 34039038500 Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 34039038500 · Union County, NJ · pop 5,798
Census tract 34039038500 runs through Union. With 5,798 residents, it scores 6.1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,851 monthly, set against $183,333 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 5% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units2,056
Renter share5.0%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$183,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union County and the region
Centroid at 40.6555, -74.3822 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 34039038500 scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,851 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 34039038500 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 51%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 34%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 3 yrs
- 9.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.4%Peak (2016)
- 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.9%Food insecurity
- 3.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 18.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 34039038500
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by New Jersey eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Union County average of 6.6 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Part of this tract, about 34% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039038500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039038500?
Census tract 34039038500 in Union County scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039038500?
Median gross rent is $1,851/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039038500?
3.8% of residents in tract 34039038500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,798.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039038500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 16th, minority 40th, housing 14th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039038500?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 34039038500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.12% of renter households, peaking at 15.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039038500 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
Was tract 34039038500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 34% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Related