Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Belvidere Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34041031700 · Warren County, NJ · pop 2,532
With a score of 6/10, tract 34041031700 in Belvidere, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,200
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$100,334
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
National
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Belvidere and the region
Centroid at 40.8298, -75.0733 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belvidere scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Belvidere
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$997 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Belvidere
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Belvidere
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Belvidere
3.9
How Belvidere compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 147Total filings over 6 yrs
- 5.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.6%Peak (2017)
- 28Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 22% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belvidere
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.8/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Cost burden runs 35% here against 42.1% across Warren County. Against the Warren County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
Court records carry 147 eviction filings across 6 observed years. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2017 at 7.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34041031700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34041031700?
Census tract 34041031700 in Belvidere scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34041031700?
Median gross rent is $997/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34041031700?
9.1% of residents in tract 34041031700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,532.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34041031700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 15th, minority 15th, housing 39th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34041031700?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34041031700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.84% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34041031700 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34041031700 compare to Belvidere overall?
Tract 34041031700 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Belvidere at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belvidere; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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