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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

Flickinger Court Eviction Risk: High , University at Buffalo

Tract 36029009115 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,811 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

36029009115 is a census tract in the Flickinger Court area of University at Buffalo, NY. It scores 8.3/10 for landlords. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 27% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units2,130
Renter share67.9%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate34.6%
Median income$47,431

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Flickinger Court
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In University at Buffalo
Very High
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#2,390 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across University at Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 43.0081, -78.8032 · click any tract to drill in

Why Flickinger Court scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from University at Buffalo
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
34.6% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,368 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from University at Buffalo
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University at Buffalo
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from University at Buffalo
9.6

How Flickinger Court compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Flickinger Court risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.3This tracttract 0091156.9University at Buffparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Flickinger Court. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Flickinger Court

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Erie County average of 44.6%. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9.6/10. At $1,368 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of University at Buffalo commands.

The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $47,431, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 1.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. The voucher gap is 16.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the national scale it lands near the 92nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029009115

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029009115?

Census tract 36029009115 in the Flickinger Court neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029009115?

Median gross rent is $1,368/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029009115?

34.6% of residents in tract 36029009115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,811.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029009115?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 5th, minority 59th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 36029009115 considered part of Flickinger Court?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029009115 fall within Flickinger Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029009115 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029009115 compare to University at Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029009115 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of University at Buffalo at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University at Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in University at Buffalo

Top eight tracts in University at Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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