Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Flickinger Court Eviction Risk: Elevated , University at Buffalo
Tract 36029009116 · Erie County, NY · pop 6,264 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 6.6/10, tract 36029009116 in the Flickinger Court area of Erie County, NY reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,264. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,331
Renter share48.6%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$68,988
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across University at Buffalo and the region
Centroid at 43.0148, -78.8108 · click any tract to drill in
Why Flickinger Court scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University at Buffalo
7.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,194 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from University at Buffalo
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University at Buffalo
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from University at Buffalo
5.0
How Flickinger Court compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Flickinger Court. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.7%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 22.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Flickinger Court
The dominant input is state political climate at 7.3/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.3/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10.
Against Erie County at 44.6%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. It tracks the Erie County average of 6.8 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,194 a month.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $68,988.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029009116
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029009116?
Census tract 36029009116 in the Flickinger Court neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029009116?
Median gross rent is $1,194/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029009116?
16.1% of residents in tract 36029009116 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,264.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029009116?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 22th, minority 45th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 36029009116 considered part of Flickinger Court?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029009116 fall within Flickinger Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36029009116 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36029009116 compare to University at Buffalo overall?
Tract 36029009116 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of University at Buffalo at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University at Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related