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Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 36029013002 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36029013002 · Erie County, NY · pop 5,590

Census tract 36029013002 covers part of Erie County, NY, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,590. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 11% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,588
Renter share22.9%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$71,786

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#164 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Low
Within state
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#4,225 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#20,506 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erie County and the region

Centroid at 42.7636, -78.8449 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 36029013002 scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
7.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,340 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
State baseline
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 36029013002 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 36029013002 risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0130026.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 36029013002

The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 44.6% across Erie County. It sits 1.0 points below the Erie County average of 6.8. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.3/10.

The voucher gap is 14.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029013002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029013002?

Census tract 36029013002 in Erie County scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029013002?

Median gross rent is $1,340/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029013002?

8.8% of residents in tract 36029013002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,590.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029013002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 72th, minority 8th, housing 81th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36029013002 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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