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Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Williamsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36029009504 · Erie County, NY · pop 5,082 · 11% of tract blocks fall in Williamsville

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 36029009504 in Williamsville, NY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,082 residents. Severe burden reaches 56%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 8% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units2,129
Renter share28.0%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$77,452

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Williamsville
Very High
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#167 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Low
Within state
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#4,302 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#21,564 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Williamsville and the region

Centroid at 42.9539, -78.7589 · click any tract to drill in

Why Williamsville scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Williamsville
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$991 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Williamsville
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Williamsville
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Williamsville
3.2

How Williamsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Williamsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0095046.2Williamsvilleparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Williamsville

Cost burden runs 71% here against 44.6% across Erie County. At $991 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Williamsville commands.

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.1/10. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Erie County average of 6.8.

Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.1/10. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $77,452, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029009504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029009504?

Census tract 36029009504 in Williamsville scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029009504?

Median gross rent is $991/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029009504?

8.6% of residents in tract 36029009504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,082.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029009504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 38th, minority 22th, housing 54th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36029009504 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36029009504 compare to Williamsville overall?

Tract 36029009504 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Williamsville at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Williamsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 36029009504 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Williamsville

Top eight tracts in Williamsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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