Brownsville Eviction Risk: High , New York

Food insecurity runs 50.9% against 17.8% nationally. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Housing insecurity runs 38.7% against 14.2% nationally. At $1,035 a month, rents run 43% under what the rest of New York commands.

Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $26,250, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,981 evictions over 7 years of observation.

Against the Kings County average of 9.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2002, when 43.9% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Brooklyn. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.