Midwood Eviction Risk: High , New York

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $57,472, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10.

The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The filing record is not thin: 269 evictions over 7 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points above the Kings County average of 9.2.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 5.1% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,664, 9% below the New York average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.