Gravesend Eviction Risk: High , New York

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $68,589, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10.

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The filing record is not thin: 201 evictions over 7 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points above the Kings County average of 9.2. Average gross rent is $2,001, 10% above the New York average.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 4.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Brooklyn. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.