Historic Grove Street Neighborhood Eviction Risk: High , Rochester

The poverty rate is 46%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $19,934, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Monroe County average of 7.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.

This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 29.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $779, 28% below the Rochester average.

Disability prevalence runs 45.0% against 31.5% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #2,657 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.