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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

Bull's Head Eviction Risk: High , Rochester

Tract 36055009601 · Monroe County, NY · pop 1,540 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 36055009601 sits in the Bull's Head area of Rochester eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.5/10. It is home to 1,540 residents. Severe burden reaches 56%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 29% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units889
Renter share80.0%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate42.0%
Median income$16,448

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bull's Head
Moderate
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 84 tracts In Rochester
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 210 tracts In Monroe County
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,271 of 5,394 tracts In New York
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rochester and the region

Centroid at 43.1520, -77.6298 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bull's Head scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rochester
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
42.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$765 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rochester
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rochester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rochester
7.0

How Bull's Head compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bull's Head risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.5This tracttract 0096018.1Rochesterparent city7.2Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bull's Head

Set annual rent against average income of $16,448 and the ratio lands at 56%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Cost burden runs 64% here against 46.4% across Monroe County. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Food insecurity runs 44.3% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Housing insecurity runs 35.6% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 2.3 points above the Monroe County average of 7.2.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Average gross rent is $765, 29% below the Rochester average. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rochester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36055009601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36055009601?

Census tract 36055009601 in the Bull's Head neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36055009601?

Median gross rent is $765/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36055009601?

42.0% of residents in tract 36055009601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,540.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36055009601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 82th, minority 82th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 36055009601 considered part of Bull's Head?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36055009601 fall within Bull's Head (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36055009601 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36055009601 compare to Rochester overall?

Tract 36055009601 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Rochester at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rochester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36055009601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 73% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rochester

Top eight tracts in Rochester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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