1 census tracts · pop 1,540 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.5/10
· range 9.5–9.5
Bull's Head maps to a single census tract in Rochester, NY and houses 1,540 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.5/10, placing it in the High tier. 56% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Set annual rent against average household income of $16,448 and the ratio lands at 56%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Against a Rochester baseline of 32.0%, 64% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation is 51.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 35.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 42%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 1/10. At $765 a month, rents sit 29% under what the rest of Rochester commands. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.
That places it #1 of 36 neighborhoods in Rochester. For a like-for-like read, Mayor's Heights and Beechwood score within a fraction of it.
One tract means one number: 9.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
9.5
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bull's Head vs RochesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bull's Head
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
35.6%Housing insecurity
28.0%Utility shutoff threat
44.3%Food insecurity
51.5%SNAP enrollment
11.7%No health insurance
42.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Bull's Head
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bull's Head?
Bull's Head scores 9.5/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bull's Head compare to Rochester overall?
Bull's Head scores 1.4 points higher than Rochester overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $765 vs $1,081.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bull's Head?
Average gross rent in Bull's Head is $765/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bull's Head residents are renters?
80% of Bull's Head households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Rochester). The neighborhood has 1,540 residents.
Q5
Is Bull's Head a high social-vulnerability area?
Bull's Head sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Bull's Head for landlords?
Bull's Head carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rochester as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Bull's Head?
Bull's Head has 1,602 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (60.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.9%), Hispanic / Latino (11.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
