Roselawn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brighton

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Against the Monroe County average of 7.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.3% against 31.5% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rochester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $120,753, annual rent is just 13%.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.5 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.