Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally
Douglas Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Great Neck Estates
Tract 36059300500 · Nassau County, NY · pop 6,180 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 36059300500 sits in the Douglas Manor area of Great Neck Estates, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,949
Renter share12.2%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$174,042
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Great Neck Estates and the region
Centroid at 40.7864, -73.7469 · click any tract to drill in
Why Douglas Manor scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Great Neck Estates
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,792 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Neck Estates
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Neck Estates
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Neck Estates
4.3
How Douglas Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 4.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 3.6%No health insurance
- 12.1%Frequent mental distress
- 21.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Douglas Manor
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10.
Average gross rent is $2,792, 20% below the Great Neck Estates average. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.6/10.
40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Nassau County average of 44.5%. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.6% against 11.3% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 79th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Nassau County average of 6.5 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 36059300500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36059300500?
Census tract 36059300500 in the Douglas Manor neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36059300500?
Median gross rent is $2,792/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36059300500?
6.1% of residents in tract 36059300500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,180.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36059300500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 86th, minority 32th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 36059300500 considered part of Douglas Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36059300500 fall within Douglas Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36059300500 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36059300500 compare to Great Neck Estates overall?
Tract 36059300500 scores 6.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Great Neck Estates at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Neck Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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