Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally

Douglas Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Great Neck Estates

Tract 36059300500 · Nassau County, NY · pop 6,180 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Here is how census tract 36059300500, in the Douglas Manor area of Great Neck Estates, looks to a landlord: a 5.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 6,180. On the national scale it ranks #30,228 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a high level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,792 a month while the average household earns $174,042 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

1.6

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units1,949

Renter share12.2%

SVI overall0.26

Poverty rate6.1%

Median income$174,042

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Neck Estates and the region

Centroid at 40.7864, -73.7469 · click any tract to drill in

Why Douglas Manor scores 1.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Great Neck Estates

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

6.1% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$2,792 rent vs county FMR

5.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Great Neck Estates

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Great Neck Estates

2.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Great Neck Estates

4.3

How Douglas Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

10%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.7%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
7.3%Food insecurity
4.9%SNAP enrollment
4.4%Transit barriers
3.6%No health insurance
12.1%Frequent mental distress
21.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Douglas Manor

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Great Neck Estates, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Nassau County average of 5.5 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 36059300500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36059300500?

Census tract 36059300500 in the Douglas Manor neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36059300500?

Median gross rent is $2,792/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36059300500?

6.1% of residents in tract 36059300500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,180.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36059300500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 86th, minority 32th, housing 24th.

Is tract 36059300500 considered part of Douglas Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36059300500 fall within Douglas Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36059300500 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36059300500 compare to Great Neck Estates overall?

Tract 36059300500 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Great Neck Estates at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Neck Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.