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Neighborhood · Great Neck Estates, NY

Douglas Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 6,180 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 6.1–6.1

Douglas Manor maps to a single census tract in Great Neck Estates, NY, population 6,180. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.1/10, in the Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 35%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 40% against 29.3% citywide, putting Douglas Manor 10.2% over its own city. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $2,792, 20% below the Great Neck Estates average of $3,501. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.6/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

SNAP participation is 4.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.2/10. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Against average income of $174,042, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Douglas Manor vs Great Neck Estates How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.5% +35%
Great Neck Estates: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$2,792 -20%
Great Neck Estates: $3,501
Average HH income
$174,042 -18%
Great Neck Estates: $211,875
Poverty rate
6.1% +123%
Great Neck Estates: 2.7%
Renter share
12.2% +130%
Great Neck Estates: 5.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Douglas Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.1–6.1

Why Douglas Manor scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Tenant organizing strength
12% renter households · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Economic stress
6.1% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Risk score comparison

Douglas Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Douglas Manor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.1Douglas ManorNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Douglas Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36059300500 6.1 6,180 40% $2,792
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 26

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 86%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 24%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Douglas Manor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Douglas Manor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Douglas Manor?

Douglas Manor scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Douglas Manor compare to Great Neck Estates overall?

Douglas Manor scores 0.2 points lower than Great Neck Estates overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,792 vs $3,501.
Q3

What is the average rent in Douglas Manor?

Average gross rent in Douglas Manor is $2,792/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Douglas Manor residents are renters?

12% of Douglas Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 5% in Great Neck Estates). The neighborhood has 6,180 residents.
Q5

Is Douglas Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

Douglas Manor sits in the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Douglas Manor for landlords?

Douglas Manor carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Great Neck Estates as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Douglas Manor?

Douglas Manor has 5,970 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.2%), Other / Multiracial (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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