Baldwin Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated

At $3,501 a month, rents run 69% over what the rest of Freeport commands. The voucher gap is 35.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.5/10. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

8% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Nassau County average of 6.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $138,754. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.