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Neighborhood · Baldwin, NY

Baldwin Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 17,843 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 5.6–6.6

Baldwin Harbor takes in 3 census tracts of Baldwin, NY, population 17,843. The Eviction Risk Score is 6/10, in the Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 48%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Against a Baldwin baseline of 32.4%, 69% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. At $1,042 a month, rents sit 45% under what the rest of Baldwin commands. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.1/10.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.6 to 6.6, a 1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The voucher gap is 10.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

At 16% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $146,676, annual rent is only 9%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Baldwin Harbor vs Baldwin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
68.8% +112%
Baldwin: 32.4%
Average gross rent
$1,042 -45%
Baldwin: $1,890
Average HH income
$146,676 +5%
Baldwin: $139,840
Poverty rate
3.1% -42%
Baldwin: 5.4%
Renter share
16.3% +22%
Baldwin: 13.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Baldwin Harbor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.6–6.6

Why Baldwin Harbor scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
69% of income on rent · Range 4.7–7.3 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–6.9 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
16% renter households · Range 2.5–6.4 across tracts
3.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–5.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
3.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.3 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–8.5 across tracts
6.0
Risk score comparison

Baldwin Harbor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Baldwin Harbor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.0Baldwin HarborNeighborhood6.0Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Baldwin Harbor?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 5.6 to 6.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Baldwin Harbor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36059414303 6.6 5,309 79% $3,501
36059413700 5.9 5,911 24% ,
36059413300 5.6 6,623 100% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 39%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Baldwin Harbor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Baldwin Harbor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Baldwin Harbor?

Baldwin Harbor scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Baldwin Harbor compare to Baldwin overall?

Baldwin Harbor scores 0.0 points higher than Baldwin overall (6/10). Renters spend 69% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,042 vs $1,890.
Q3

What is the average rent in Baldwin Harbor?

Average gross rent in Baldwin eviction risk Harbor is $1,042/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Baldwin Harbor residents are renters?

16% of Baldwin Harbor households are renter-occupied (vs 13% in Baldwin). The neighborhood has 17,843 residents.
Q5

Is Baldwin Harbor a high social-vulnerability area?

Baldwin Harbor sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Baldwin Harbor have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Baldwin Harbor is census tract 36059414303 (score 6.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 6.6, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Baldwin Harbor for landlords?

Baldwin eviction risk Harbor carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Baldwin as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Baldwin Harbor?

Baldwin Harbor has 18,217 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.2%), Hispanic / Latino (28.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Baldwin Harbor

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Baldwin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Baldwin Harbor.

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