Lower East Side Eviction Risk: High , New York

Average gross rent is $659, 64% below the New York average. The poverty rate is 47%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10.

Housing insecurity runs 35.5% against 14.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $24,350, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.0% against 11.3% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10.

51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the New York County average of 43.9%. It sits 0.9 points above the New York County average of 9.0. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5,130 filings here across 7 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 53.0% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 40.4% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.