Alphabet City Eviction Risk: High , New York

Average gross rent is $568, 69% below the New York average. Food insecurity runs 55.2% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 45%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $20,876, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10.

Against New York County at 43.9%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 0.9 points above the New York County average of 9.0.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4,683 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 79.8% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Manhattan. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 55.8% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.