Morningside Heights Eviction Risk: High , New York

This is renter territory: 92% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $82,778, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. At $2,292 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of New York commands.

53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the New York County average of 43.9%. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10.

Disability prevalence runs 19.2% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. It sits 0.9 points above the New York County average of 9.0.

The filing record is not thin: 166 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2000 at 2.5% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Manhattan. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.