Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Mechanicstown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36071011200 · Orange County, NY · pop 4,754 · 74% of tract blocks fall in Mechanicstown
Census tract 36071011200 sits in Mechanicstown in Orange County, New York eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,976 a month against an average household income of $98,093 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,016
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$98,093
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mechanicstown and the region
Centroid at 41.4422, -74.3851 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mechanicstown scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mechanicstown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,976 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mechanicstown
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mechanicstown
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mechanicstown
6.7
How Mechanicstown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.5%Food insecurity
- 14.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mechanicstown
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mechanicstown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 6.0 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36071011200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071011200?
Census tract 36071011200 in Mechanicstown scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36071011200?
Median gross rent is $1,976/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071011200?
9.7% of residents in tract 36071011200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,754.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071011200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 88th, minority 73th, housing 68th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36071011200 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36071011200 compare to Mechanicstown overall?
Tract 36071011200 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Mechanicstown at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mechanicstown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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