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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Hardscrabble Tract Eviction Risk: Elevated , South Blooming Grove

Tract 36071013302 · Orange County, NY · pop 2,213 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 36071013302 covers part of the Hardscrabble Tract area of South Blooming Grove, NY, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,213. Cost burden runs 82% here against 49.0% across Orange County.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 1% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units730
Renter share3.0%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$133,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hardscrabble Tract
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In South Blooming Grove
Very Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 92 tracts In Orange County
Elevated
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3,620 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Blooming Grove and the region

Centroid at 41.3758, -74.2150 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hardscrabble Tract scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Blooming Grove
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Blooming Grove
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Blooming Grove
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Blooming Grove
9.3

How Hardscrabble Tract compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hardscrabble Tract risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.5This tracttract 0133027.9South Blooming Groparent city6.7Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hardscrabble Tract

What pushes it up most is housing-court posture at 9.3/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Orange County average of 6.7 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36071013302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071013302?

Census tract 36071013302 in the Hardscrabble Tract neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 36071013302?

5.9% of residents in tract 36071013302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,213.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 36071013302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 19th, minority 10th, housing 7th.
Q4

Is tract 36071013302 considered part of Hardscrabble Tract?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36071013302 fall within Hardscrabble Tract (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 36071013302 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36071013302 compare to South Blooming Grove overall?

Tract 36071013302 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of South Blooming Grove at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Blooming Grove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Blooming Grove

Top eight tracts in South Blooming Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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