Eviction Risk in Hardscrabble Tract , South Blooming Grove
Tract 36071013302 · Orange County, NY · pop 2,213 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 36071013302 sits in the Hardscrabble Tract neighborhood of South Blooming Grove, New York. It has a population of 2,213 and an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). 82% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 9% severely cost-burdened (≥50%).
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 2,179 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 10.2%
- White (non-Hispanic) 85.3%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 0.7%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 2.5%
- Other / Multiracial 1.4%
How the 6.4/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | — | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 7.3 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 5.0 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 5.5 | South Blooming Grove (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 9.0 | South Blooming Grove (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 6.7 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 8.0 | South Blooming Grove (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 9.3 | South Blooming Grove (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 1.5 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 5.0 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.9%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 21.6%Any disability
About tract 36071013302
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071013302?
Census tract 36071013302 in the Hardscrabble Tract neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071013302?
5.9% of residents in tract 36071013302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,213.
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071013302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 19th, minority 10th, housing 7th.
Is tract 36071013302 considered part of Hardscrabble Tract?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36071013302 fall within Hardscrabble Tract (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
What share of households in tract 36071013302 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.