Morris Park Eviction Risk: High , New York

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Housing insecurity runs 28.2% against 14.2% nationally.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.

The filing record is not thin: 187 evictions over 7 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,650 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of New York commands. Filings peaked in 2006 at 11.8% of renter households.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Queens. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.