Neighborhood · Ranked #2,663 of 84,120 nationally

East Elmhurst Eviction Risk: Elevated , New York

Tract 36081027302 · Queens County, NY · pop 4,390 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 7.3/10 for census tract 36081027302 reflects conditions in the East Elmhurst neighborhood of New York, New York. On the national scale it ranks #2,429 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 73% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,838 monthly, set against $71,818 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 79% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 57% Stable renters 22% Owners 21%

Tract context

Occupied units1,446

Renter share79.3%

SVI overall0.97

Poverty rate19.1%

Median income$71,818

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.7538, -73.8732 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Elmhurst scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from New York

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

19.1% poverty · this tract

4.8

Supply constraint

$1,838 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from New York

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from New York

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from New York

7.1

How East Elmhurst compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
89%Household composition
96%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
88%Grade C
12%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Elmhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

27.7%Housing insecurity
13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
35.9%Food insecurity
26.1%SNAP enrollment
15.1%Transit barriers
21.7%No health insurance
15.0%Frequent mental distress
35.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Elmhurst

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New York eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Queens County average of 7.0 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 12% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36081027302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36081027302?

Census tract 36081027302 in the East Elmhurst neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36081027302?

Median gross rent is $1,838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36081027302?

19.1% of residents in tract 36081027302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,390.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36081027302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 89th, minority 96th, housing 92th.

Is tract 36081027302 considered part of East Elmhurst?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36081027302 fall within East Elmhurst (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36081027302 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36081027302 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36081027302 scores 7.7/10, lower than the parent city of New York at 9.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36081027302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.