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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

East Elmhurst Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36081027302 · Queens County, NY · pop 4,390 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 36081027302 covers part of the East Elmhurst area of New York, NY, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,390 residents. Against Queens County at 49.8%, 73% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 57% Stable renters 22% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,446
Renter share79.3%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$71,818

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 15 tracts In East Elmhurst
Very High
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#537 of 2,324 tracts In New York
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#69 of 724 tracts In Queens County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.7538, -73.8732 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Elmhurst scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,838 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1

How East Elmhurst compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Elmhurst risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0273029.6New Yorkparent city9.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Elmhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Elmhurst

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Food insecurity runs 35.9% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.

Housing insecurity runs 27.7% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36081027302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36081027302?

Census tract 36081027302 in the East Elmhurst neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36081027302?

Median gross rent is $1,838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36081027302?

19.1% of residents in tract 36081027302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,390.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36081027302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 89th, minority 96th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 36081027302 considered part of East Elmhurst?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36081027302 fall within East Elmhurst (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36081027302 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36081027302 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36081027302 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36081027302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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